Weekly Market Commentary

The holiday-shortened week ended with losses for both US equities and Treasuries.  Apple shares tumbled on the news that the Chinese government would ban the use of the iPhone at government agencies at all levels of government.  The news comes in front of Apple’s new product release scheduled for September 12th.   Shares of Apple fell 6% on the week and other large-cap technology issues fell in tandem.  The ban on exporting technology to China may well have entered into a new phase with China taking similar measures against other multinational companies.  The consequences of protectionism and on shoring were prominent themes for investors last week and will likely be another variable for investors to consider.

Oil prices advanced again on the news that Russia and Saudi would continue to curtail their production of Crude through at least the end of the year.  The higher level of fuel costs has caused concern on the inflation front.  The US Consumer Price Index will be released this week and it’s widely expected that the headline number will tick higher from the prior reading due to elevated oil prices.  ISM Services reported during the week also showed that the services sector of the economy expanded at a higher rate and the prices in services ticked higher as well.  Sticky inflation data and an increase in the supply of debt coming to the market from the Treasury and Corporate America pushed yields higher across the curve.  This week the Treasury will auction off nearly 100 Billion in 3-year, 10-year, and 30-year paper.

The S&P 500 lost 1.3%, the Dow gave up 0.7%, the NASDAQ fell 1.9%, and the Russell 2000 led declines with a loss of 3.6%.  Of note, the S&P 500 fell below its 50-day moving average but was able to hold 4400 a key level that investors will continue to watch.  The yield curve shifted higher across the curve.  The 2-year yield increased by nine basis points to 4.97%, as the 10-year yield rose by the same amount to 4.26%.  Oil prices increased by $1.92 or 2.2%, closing at $87.47 a barrel.  Gold prices fell by $23.80 to close at $1943.30 an Oz. Copper prices fell 3.3% to 3.72 a Lb.  The US Dollar continued to be strong despite intervention measures from the Bank of Japan and the People’s Bank of China.  The Dollar/Yen closed at 147.87, the Euro/Dollar closed the week below 1.07, and the Dollar/Yuan closed at 1.3667.

Investment advisory services offered through Foundations Investment Advisors, LLC (“FIA”), an SEC registered investment adviser. FIA’s Darren Leavitt authors this commentary which may include information and statistical data obtained from and/or prepared by third party sources that FIA deems reliable but in no way does FIA guarantee the accuracy or completeness.  All such third party information and statistical data contained herein is subject to change without notice.  Nothing herein constitutes legal, tax or investment advice or any recommendation that any security, portfolio of securities, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.  Personal investment advice can only be rendered after the engagement of FIA for services, execution of required documentation, including receipt of required disclosures.  All investments involve risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. For registration information on FIA, please go to https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/ and search by our firm name or by our CRD #175083. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where FIA and its representatives are properly licensed or exempted.

Share:

View the Latest Commentaries:

Weekly Market Commentary

As we move from the third quarter into the fourth, investors have a lot to consider in this crazy market.  US equities finished the week mixed in volatile trade.  A standstill in negotiations between the US and Iran pushed oil prices higher early in the week, but the realization that oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz is now at pre-war levels, along with news that the G7 would release 100 million gallons of oil and diesel from reserves, pushed oil prices lower.  This comes as the Pentagon is considering deploying 10,000 more troops and an additional aircraft carrier to the Gulf.  Elevated oil prices have kept inflation concerns front and center, but a cooler-than-expected PCE report, a weaker-than-anticipated Employment Situation report, and dovish remarks from Fed President Williams and Vice Chair Jefferson moved the probability of a rate hike in October from over 70% to less than 25%.  Interestingly,

Weekly Market Commentary

Markets finished the week mixed as interest rates increased across the yield curve.  Oil prices swung significantly during the week as reports suggested the US and Iran were close to a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.  This weekend, President Trump rejected the proposed deal, with reports suggesting the US will resume more aggressive military operations after the Midterms.  This is likely to send oil prices higher on Monday and, with it, increase inflation expectations.  President Trump’s meeting with Chinese leader Xi offered little change to the current political stance.  The two countries delayed increasing tariffs until January 2027, and the two leaders are scheduled to meet two more times before year-end.   Additionally, the two leaders appear to be on the same page on AI development and pushed back on slowing it but agreed that safeguards should be put in place.  Debate continues over AI development and its safeguards. 

Weekly Market Commentary

It was a volatile week on Wall Street as traders assessed monetary policy decisions from several central banks, including the Federal Reserve.  The Fed did, as expected, raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, but Fed Chairman Warsh’s very hawkish tone increased the likelihood of three more rate hikes starting later this year and in the first half of 2027.  The Fed Chair offered no forward guidance but did provide the dot plot from the other committee members.  The yield curve flattened on the announcement, with the front end of the curve selling off more than longer-duration Treasuries. Notably, the Bank of England kept its policy rate in place while the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points.  A more dovish signal from the BOJ’s president sent the Yen lower.  Bottom line: the US economy is strong, employment looks stable, and inflation remains

Weekly Market Commentary

US equity markets fell in the holiday-shortened week as oil prices surpassed $100 a barrel, raising inflation concerns and pushing interest rates higher.  Additionally, elevated inflation data announced during the week increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve would raise its policy rate by 25 basis points.  Several Gulf nations announced Friday that they would meet with Iranian officials this weekend to ease tensions, and on Sunday Tehran announced it would decide whether to open part of the Strait of Hormuz, but details of the opening were limited.  This followed Saudi Arabia’s announcement that it had shut down the oil pipeline used to circumvent the Strait. The S&P 500 fell 0.78%, the Dow gave back 1.56%, the NASDAQ declined 0.64%, and the Russell 2000 decreased by 2.39%.  US Treasuries suffered losses across the curve, with the front end of the curve getting hit hardest.  The 2-year yield increased by twenty-six